Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCông An Nhân Dân to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceCông An Nhân Dân or draw ✓90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗18% · fair 5.52
Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân preview and prediction
The match
Công An Nhân Dân travel to Binh Phuoc Stadium in the V.League 1 on Sunday 20 September (12:00 WAT) to face Bình Phước.
Form guide
Bình Phước's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Công An Nhân Dân's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Gamba Osaka 1–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Công An Nhân Dân arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.5 for Bình Phước and 1.7 for Công An Nhân Dân. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bình Phước 10%, draw 23%, Công An Nhân Dân 67%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.50, above our fair price of 1.40, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Bình Phước 0–1 Công An Nhân Dân. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bình Phước10%fair 9.96 · @6.00
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @4.33
Công An Nhân Dân67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
2.26Expected goals
0.52Bình Phước xG
1.74Công An Nhân Dân xG
47%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–216%
0–010%
1–19%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Bình Phước 0.5 – 1.7 Công An Nhân Dân expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Công An Nhân Dân to win✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Double chance
Công An Nhân Dân or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.95
2.25 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.50 ▲
Half-time result
Công An Nhân Dân ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Công An Nhân Dân / FT Công An Nhân Dân✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
18%
5.52
–
Form
Bình Phước – last 6
LLLWLL
13 Sep
@ Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Viettel
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0–1
L
30 May
vs Long An
3–0
W
8 May
@ Bắc Ninh
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Ho Chi Minh
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Công An Nhân Dân – last 6
LWWWWL
15 Sep
@ Gamba Osaka
1–4
L
10 Sep
@ Viettel
1–0
W
5 Sep
vs Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh
2–0
W
30 Aug
vs Ho Chi Minh
5–0
W
11 Aug
@ Adelaide United
2–0
W
7 Jun
@ Viettel
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bình Phước and Công An Nhân Dân.
What is the prediction for Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
On our numbers Bình Phước have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Công An Nhân Dân 67%.
How many goals will there be in Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Our predicted score is Bình Phước 0–1 Công An Nhân Dân, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân?
Bình Phước vs Công An Nhân Dân (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Binh Phuoc Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
