Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceHồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.78
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước preview and prediction
The match
The V.League 1 sees Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh take on Bình Phước on Sunday 13 September, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh's last 5: LLDDW Most recently they lost to Công An Nhân Dân 0–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Bình Phước's last 5: LLWLL Most recently they lost to Viettel 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.5 for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and 0.7 for Bình Phước. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 60%, draw 23%, Bình Phước 17%.
Safer route: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–0 Bình Phước. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh60%fair 1.67 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Bình Phước17%fair 5.80 · @3.70
2.18Expected goals
1.53Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh xG
0.65Bình Phước xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–013%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1.5 – 0.7 Bình Phước expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh to win✓
60%
1.67
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh / FT Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh✗
36%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.78
–
Form
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh – last 6
LLDDWL
5 Sep
@ Công An Nhân Dân
0–2
L
7 Jun
@ Phu Dong
0–3
L
31 May
vs Da Nang
0–0
D
24 May
vs Công An Nhân Dân
1–1
D
17 May
@ Hoang Anh Gia Lai
2–0
W
10 May
vs Viettel
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Bình Phước – last 6
LLWLLW
4 Sep
vs Viettel
0–2
L
6 Jun
@ Xuan Thien Phu Tho
0–1
L
30 May
vs Long An
3–0
W
8 May
@ Bắc Ninh
1–2
L
20 Mar
@ Ho Chi Minh
0–1
L
13 Mar
@ Sanna Khanh Hoa
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh and Bình Phước.
What is the prediction for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
Our pick is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
On our numbers Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bình Phước 17%.
How many goals will there be in Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
Our predicted score is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh 1–0 Bình Phước, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước?
Hồng Lĩnh Hà Tĩnh vs Bình Phước (V.League 1) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
