Value bet: Saipa to win @ 2.39 – our chance 45% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSaipa to win ✓45% · @2.39
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓16% · fair 6.33
Mes Kerman vs Saipa preview and prediction
The match
Saipa travel to Shahid Bahonar Stadium in the Azadegan League on Tuesday 22 September (13:30 WAT) to face Mes Kerman. Mes Kerman are 13th with 7 points from 9 games (in the bottom half), while Saipa sit 10th on 12 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Mes Kerman's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with Fard Alborz 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Saipa's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Mes Soongoun 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Saipa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Mes Kerman and 1.1 for Saipa. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mes Kerman 30%, draw 25%, Saipa 45%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Saipa to win at 2.39 – 45% on our numbers against 42% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Mes Kerman 0–1 Saipa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mes Kerman30%fair 3.34 · @2.99
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @2.71
Saipa45%fair 2.21 · @2.39
1.97Expected goals
0.84Mes Kerman xG
1.13Saipa xG
46%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
1–27%
From our goals model: Mes Kerman 0.8 – 1.1 Saipa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saipa to win✓
45%
2.21
2.39 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.66
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.06
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saipa / FT Saipa✓
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✓
16%
6.33
–
Form
Mes Kerman – last 6
DLDDDD
15 Sep
@ Fard Alborz
1–1
D
11 Jul
@ Sanat Naft
0–1
L
3 Jul
vs Naft Bandar Abbas
0–0
D
27 Jun
@ Shahrdari Noshahr
1–1
D
21 Jun
vs Pars Jonoubi JAM
1–1
D
15 Jun
@ Havadar
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Saipa – last 6
WWWWLW
16 Sep
vs Mes Soongoun
2–0
W
16 Jul
vs Naft Bandar Abbas
1–0
W
11 Jul
@ Navad Urmia
2–0
W
2 Jul
vs Shahrdari Noshahr
1–0
W
27 Jun
@ Fard Alborz
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mes Kerman and Saipa.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
On our numbers Mes Kerman have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Saipa 45%.
How many goals will there be in Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
Our predicted score is Mes Kerman 0–1 Saipa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Mes Kerman vs Saipa?
Mes Kerman vs Saipa (Azadegan League) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Shahid Bahonar Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
