Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Deportivo Maldonado to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maldonado to win ✓64% · @1.70
Double chanceDeportivo Maldonado or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.46
Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Maldonado host Wanderers in the Copa Uruguay on Thursday 10 September, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Deportivo Maldonado's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Wanderers 2–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Wanderers's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Deportivo Maldonado 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Deportivo Maldonado arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 September 2026, finished Deportivo Maldonado 2–0 Wanderers. Across their last 3 meetings Deportivo Maldonado have won 1, Wanderers 0, with 2 draws and 1.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Deportivo Maldonado and 0.6 for Wanderers. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 60% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Deportivo Maldonado to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Wanderers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maldonado64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.30
Wanderers12%fair 8.18 · @4.75
2.19Expected goals
1.63Deportivo Maldonado xG
0.56Wanderers xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maldonado 1.6 – 0.6 Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
On our numbers Deportivo Maldonado have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wanderers 12%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maldonado 1–0 Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers?
Deportivo Maldonado vs Wanderers (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 10 September 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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