Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo preview and prediction
The match
Liverpool Montevideo travel to Parque Capurro in the Copa Uruguay on Thursday 27 August (19:00 WAT) to face Fenix.
Form guide
Fenix's last 5: WLDDW Most recently they beat Tacuarembo 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Liverpool Montevideo's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Cerro 4–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Liverpool Montevideo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.0 for Fenix and 1.4 for Liverpool Montevideo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fenix 30%, draw 24%, Liverpool Montevideo 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Fenix 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fenix30%fair 3.31 · @3.35
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @2.90
Liverpool Montevideo46%fair 2.17 · @2.20
2.42Expected goals
1.04Fenix xG
1.37Liverpool Montevideo xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
0–09%
1–29%
0–28%
From our goals model: Fenix 1.0 – 1.4 Liverpool Montevideo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Liverpool Montevideo to win✓
46%
2.17
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Liverpool Montevideo / FT Liverpool Montevideo✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.15
–
Form
Fenix – last 6
WLDDWL
23 Aug
@ Tacuarembo
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Plaza Colonia
1–4
L
8 Aug
vs La Luz
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Cerrito
1–1
D
26 Jul
vs Atenas
1–0
W
13 Jul
@ Paysandu
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Liverpool Montevideo – last 6
WWWDWL
21 Aug
vs Cerro
4–0
W
16 Aug
@ Defensor Sporting
4–0
W
8 Aug
vs Albion FC
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Central Espanol
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Defensor Sporting
2–1
W
12 Jul
vs Cerro
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fenix and Liverpool Montevideo.
What is the prediction for Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
On our numbers Fenix have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Liverpool Montevideo 46%.
How many goals will there be in Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Our predicted score is Fenix 1–1 Liverpool Montevideo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo?
Fenix vs Liverpool Montevideo (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Parque Capurro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Penarol1
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