The Copa Uruguay sees Penarol take on Atletico Torque on Thursday 27 August, kicking off at 00:15 (WAT).
Form guide
Penarol's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Maldonado 0–0 away. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atletico Torque's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat Wanderers 5–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.6 for Penarol and 1.1 for Atletico Torque. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 59%.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Penarol 1–1 Atletico Torque. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Penarol50%fair 2.01 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.35
Atletico Torque29%fair 3.41 · @3.25
2.67Expected goals
1.56Penarol xG
1.11Atletico Torque xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
2–08%
0–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Penarol 1.6 – 1.1 Atletico Torque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penarol to win✓
50%
2.01
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penarol / FT Penarol✗
29%
3.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.29
–
Form
Penarol – last 6
DWWWWD
22 Aug
@ Deportivo Maldonado
0–0
D
16 Aug
vs Central Espanol
2–1
W
6 Aug
vs Wanderers
5–1
W
1 Aug
vs Cerro Largo
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs Boston River
3–0
W
12 Jul
@ Racing Montevideo
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atletico Torque – last 6
WWWWLW
23 Aug
vs Wanderers
5–1
W
20 Aug
vs Tigre
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Juventud
1–0
W
12 Aug
@ Tigre
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Wanderers
0–2
L
24 Jul
vs Danubio
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penarol and Atletico Torque.
What is the prediction for Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
On our numbers Penarol have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Atletico Torque 29%.
How many goals will there be in Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
Our predicted score is Penarol 1–1 Atletico Torque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Penarol vs Atletico Torque?
Penarol vs Atletico Torque (Copa Uruguay) kicks off on Thursday 27 August 2026 at 00:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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Liverpool Montevideo2