Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ittihad to win ✓73% · @1.14
Double chanceAl Ittihad or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · fair 1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.20
Al Ittihad vs Paro preview and prediction
The match
The AFC Challenge League sees Al Ittihad take on Paro on Friday 23 October, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Changlimithang Stadium.
Form guide
Al Ittihad's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Ahal 5–1 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Paro's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Al Ansar 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 4.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.3 for Al Ittihad and 0.8 for Paro. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 49% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ittihad 73%, draw 15%, Paro 12%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 61% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Al Ittihad 3–0 Paro. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ittihad73%fair 1.36 · @1.14
Draw15%fair 6.70 · @8.00
Paro12%fair 8.62 · @12.00
3.11Expected goals
2.34Al Ittihad xG
0.77Paro xG
49%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–010%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Ittihad 2.3 – 0.8 Paro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ittihad to win✓
73%
1.36
1.14
Double chance
Al Ittihad or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Al Ittihad ahead at half-time✗
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ittihad / FT Al Ittihad✗
49%
2.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.20
–
Form
Al Ittihad – last 6
WLWWWD
20 Oct
vs Ahal
5–1
W
17 Oct
@ Al Ansar
0–2
L
11 Aug
vs Bangladesh Police
1–0
W
3 Jul
vs Jaish
2–0
W
24 Jun
vs Hottin
4–0
W
19 Jun
@ Al Wahda
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Paro – last 6
LDWWWW
20 Oct
vs Al Ansar
1–2
L
17 Oct
@ Ahal
2–2
D
8 Oct
@ Thimphu City
2–0
W
3 Oct
vs Bhutan U19
6–0
W
12 Sep
@ Transport United
4–2
W
8 Sep
@ Ugyen Academy
10–0
W
4.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ittihad and Paro.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Al Ittihad vs Paro?
On our numbers Al Ittihad have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Paro 12%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ittihad vs Paro?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ittihad vs Paro?
Our predicted score is Al Ittihad 3–0 Paro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Al Ittihad vs Paro?
Al Ittihad vs Paro (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Changlimithang Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Ahal2
Al Ansar1
Fortis3
Regar-TadAZ1