Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Ansar to win ✗65% · @1.50
Double chanceAl Ansar or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Ahal vs Al Ansar preview and prediction
The match
Ahal host Al Ansar in the AFC Challenge League on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT) at Changlimithang Stadium.
Form guide
Ahal's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Al Ittihad 1–5 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Al Ansar's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Paro 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Al Ansar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 1.0 for Ahal and 2.3 for Al Ansar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ahal 14%, draw 20%, Al Ansar 65%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Ansar to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Ahal 1–2 Al Ansar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ahal14%fair 7.02 · @5.00
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.00
Al Ansar65%fair 1.53 · @1.50
3.32Expected goals
1.01Ahal xG
2.31Al Ansar xG
51%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
0–210%
1–18%
0–18%
1–37%
0–37%
From our goals model: Ahal 1.0 – 2.3 Al Ansar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ansar to win✗
65%
1.53
1.50
Double chance
Al Ansar or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Al Ansar ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ansar / FT Al Ansar✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.26
–
Form
Ahal – last 6
LDLWWL
20 Oct
@ Al Ittihad
1–5
L
17 Oct
vs Paro
2–2
D
7 Oct
vs Altyn Asyr
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Aşgabat
4–3
W
12 Sep
vs Nebitci
3–0
W
5 Sep
@ Şagadam
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Al Ansar – last 6
WWWWWD
20 Oct
@ Paro
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Al Ittihad
2–0
W
8 Oct
vs Al Hikma
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ Al Nejmeh
2–1
W
28 Jul
@ Jwaaya FC
2–1
W
24 Jul
@ Al Ahed
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ahal and Al Ansar.
Our pick is Al Ansar to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ahal vs Al Ansar?
On our numbers Ahal have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al Ansar 65%.
How many goals will there be in Ahal vs Al Ansar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ahal vs Al Ansar?
Our predicted score is Ahal 1–2 Al Ansar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Ahal vs Al Ansar?
Ahal vs Al Ansar (AFC Challenge League) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Changlimithang Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Fortis3
Regar-TadAZ1
Al Ittihad2
Paro1