Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Cerro Porteno to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCerro Porteno to win ✓63% · @1.36
Double chanceCerro Porteno or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.96
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno preview and prediction
The match
Cerro Porteno travel to Estadio Gunther Vogel in the Division Profesional Clausura on Sunday 25 October (23:30 WAT) to face Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Club Sp. San Lorenzo are 12th with 11 points from 19 games (in the bottom three), while Cerro Porteno sit 7th on 28 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Club Sp. San Lorenzo's last 5: LDDDD Most recently they lost to Sportivo Luqueno 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Cerro Porteno's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Sportivo Ameliano 2–2 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 October 2026, finished Cerro Porteno 2–2 Club Sp. San Lorenzo. Across their last 3 meetings Club Sp. San Lorenzo have won 0, Cerro Porteno 2, with 1 draw and 2.3 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Club Sp. San Lorenzo and 1.7 for Cerro Porteno. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 48%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 14%, draw 23%, Cerro Porteno 63%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cerro Porteno to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Cerro Porteno. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Club Sp. San Lorenzo14%fair 7.19 · @7.50
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.33
Cerro Porteno63%fair 1.58 · @1.36
2.30Expected goals
0.63Club Sp. San Lorenzo xG
1.67Cerro Porteno xG
48%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0.6 – 1.7 Cerro Porteno expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno?
Our pick is Cerro Porteno to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno?
On our numbers Club Sp. San Lorenzo have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cerro Porteno 63%.
How many goals will there be in Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno?
Our predicted score is Club Sp. San Lorenzo 0–1 Cerro Porteno, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno?
Club Sp. San Lorenzo vs Cerro Porteno (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 23:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gunther Vogel.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.