Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia prediction & analysis
88%
Footrivo pick
Olimpia or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.13 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Olimpia to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOlimpia to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceOlimpia or draw ✓88% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗17% · fair 5.93
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia preview and prediction
The match
Olimpia travel to Estadio Jose Tomas Silva in the Division Profesional Clausura on Sunday 25 October (14:00 WAT) to face Sportivo Ameliano. Sportivo Ameliano are 9th with 19 points from 19 games (in the bottom half), while Olimpia sit 1st on 42 points (top of the table). A gap of 23 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sportivo Ameliano's last 5: DLLDD Most recently they drew with Cerro Porteno 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Olimpia's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat 2 de Mayo 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Olimpia arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 16 August 2026, finished Olimpia 2–1 Sportivo Ameliano. Across their last 2 meetings Sportivo Ameliano have won 0, Olimpia 1, with 1 draw and 2.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 2 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Sportivo Ameliano and 1.7 for Olimpia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 52%.
Value angle: Olimpia to win at 1.80 – 64% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Olimpia or draw – a 88% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.13, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Olimpia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sportivo Ameliano12%fair 8.52 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.40
Olimpia64%fair 1.55 · @1.80
2.33Expected goals
0.60Sportivo Ameliano xG
1.73Olimpia xG
52%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Sportivo Ameliano 0.6 – 1.7 Olimpia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
Our pick is Olimpia or draw with a 88% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
On our numbers Sportivo Ameliano have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Olimpia 64%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Ameliano 0–1 Olimpia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia?
Sportivo Ameliano vs Olimpia (Division Profesional Clausura) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Tomas Silva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
