Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultHalcones Negros to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceHalcones Negros or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros preview and prediction
The match
Ciervos host Halcones Negros in the Liga Premier Serie A on Saturday 3 October, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT). Ciervos are 9th with 5 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Halcones Negros sit 5th on 17 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ciervos's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to Calor de San Pedro 0–4 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Halcones Negros's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Calor de San Pedro 7–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.4 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Halcones Negros arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.2 for Ciervos and 2.2 for Halcones Negros. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Safer route: Halcones Negros or draw (81%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Halcones Negros or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ciervos 1–2 Halcones Negros. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ciervos19%fair 5.13 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.75
Halcones Negros59%fair 1.71 · @1.67
3.40Expected goals
1.21Ciervos xG
2.19Halcones Negros xG
64%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Ciervos 1.2 – 2.2 Halcones Negros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Halcones Negros to win✓
59%
1.71
1.67
Double chance
Halcones Negros or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Halcones Negros ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Halcones Negros / FT Halcones Negros✓
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Form
Ciervos – last 6
LLLLLL
20 Sep
@ Calor de San Pedro
0–4
L
12 Sep
vs Artesanos Metepec
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ Guerreros del Pacifico
0–2
L
29 Aug
vs Dragones de Oaxaca
0–2
L
31 Mar
@ FC Santiago
0–5
L
22 Feb
@ Calor de San Pedro
1–3
L
0.2Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Halcones Negros – last 5
WLWLD
27 Sep
vs Calor de San Pedro
7–0
W
19 Sep
@ Artesanos Metepec
1–2
L
13 Sep
vs Guerreros del Pacifico
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Dragones de Oaxaca
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Delfines Coatzacoalcos
0–0
D
2.4Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciervos and Halcones Negros.
What is the prediction for Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
Our pick is Halcones Negros or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
On our numbers Ciervos have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Halcones Negros 59%.
How many goals will there be in Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
Our predicted score is Ciervos 1–2 Halcones Negros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Ciervos vs Halcones Negros?
Ciervos vs Halcones Negros (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
