Liga Premier Serie A · MexicoArtesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina prediction & analysis
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Artesanos Metepec 2.4 – 0.9 Cañoneros Marina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Artesanos Metepec are clear favourites at home with a 72% chance of winning, against 12% for Cañoneros Marina.
Artesanos Metepec have taken 15 points from their last 6 matches (5W 0D 1L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 0.8 per game. Cañoneros Marina have 3 points from their last 6 (1W 0D 5L), averaging 1.0 scored and 2.7 conceded. Artesanos Metepec come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.3 goals (2.4 for Artesanos Metepec, 0.9 for Cañoneros Marina). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals at a 63% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.50 is close to our fair price of 1.58.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Artesanos Metepec to win ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | 1.09 |
| Double chance | Artesanos Metepec or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | – |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 84% | 1.19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 63% | 1.58 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Half-time result | Artesanos Metepec ahead at half-time ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Artesanos Metepec / FT Artesanos Metepec ✗ | 48% | 2.07 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 9.23 | – |
Form
Artesanos Metepec – last 6
| 27 Sep | @ Acambaro | 3–2 | W |
| 19 Sep | vs Halcones Negros | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Ciervos | 3–0 | W |
| 5 Sep | vs Calor de San Pedro | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Real Refineros | 2–1 | W |
| 4 Apr | vs Gorilas de Juanacatlan | 0–1 | L |
Cañoneros Marina – last 6
| 26 Sep | vs Guerreros del Pacifico | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Dragones de Oaxaca | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Sep | vs Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 1–2 | L |
| 6 Sep | vs Real Refineros | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Aug | @ Acambaro | 0–8 | L |
| 1 Apr | vs Héroes de Zaci | 5–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Artesanos Metepec and Cañoneros Marina.
Liga Premier Serie A table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Santiago | 11 | +20 | 24 |
| 2 |  Acatlan | 11 | +5 | 23 |
| 3 |  La Tribu de Cd. Juarez | 11 | +18 | 22 |
| 4 |  Mineros de Fresnillo | 11 | +11 | 22 |
| 5 |  Correcaminos UAT II | 11 | +4 | 20 |
| 6 |  Vaqueros Reynosa | 11 | +1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Guerreros | 9 | -2 | 12 |
| 8 |  Atlético Saltillo | 10 | -7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Real Apodaca | 10 | -10 | 6 |
| 10 |  Héroes de Zaci | 10 | -26 | 2 |
| 1 |  Dragones de Oaxaca | 10 | +19 | 25 |
| 2 |  Artesanos Metepec | 11 | +14 | 25 |
| 3 |  Acambaro | 11 | +17 | 23 |
| 4 |  Delfines Coatzacoalcos | 11 | +4 | 19 |
| 5 |  Halcones Negros | 11 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  Guerreros del Pacifico | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 7 |  Calor de San Pedro | 11 | -7 | 16 |
| 8 |  Real Refineros | 11 | -5 | 15 |
| 9 |  Ciervos | 11 | -27 | 5 |
| 10 |  Cañoneros Marina | 10 | -36 | 0 |
More Liga Premier Serie A predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina?
On our numbers Artesanos Metepec have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Cañoneros Marina 12%.
How many goals will there be in Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina?
Artesanos Metepec vs Cañoneros Marina (Liga Premier Serie A) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.