Value bet: Foolad FC to win @ 2.70 – our chance 42% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultFoolad FC to win ✓42% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.32
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.23
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.63
Malavan vs Foolad FC preview and prediction
The match
The Persian Gulf Pro League sees Malavan take on Foolad FC on Tuesday 13 October, kicking off at 14:30 (WAT) at Takhti Stadium. Malavan are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Foolad FC sit 4th on 23 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Malavan's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Aluminium Arak 1–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Foolad FC's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Mes Shahr-e Babak 2–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Foolad FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 0.9 for Malavan and 1.1 for Foolad FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Malavan 34%, draw 24%, Foolad FC 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.23.
Value angle: Foolad FC to win at 2.70 – 42% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Malavan 0–1 Foolad FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malavan34%fair 2.96 · @2.56
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @2.80
Foolad FC42%fair 2.36 · @2.70
1.94Expected goals
0.89Malavan xG
1.05Foolad FC xG
50%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–014%
1–113%
1–013%
0–28%
1–27%
From our goals model: Malavan 0.9 – 1.1 Foolad FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Foolad FC to win✓
42%
2.36
2.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.32
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
2.23 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.59
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.08
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.63
–
Form
Malavan – last 6
DWLLLW
8 Oct
@ Aluminium Arak
1–1
D
7 Sep
@ Mes Shahr-e Babak
2–1
W
2 Sep
vs Nassaji Mazandaran
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Persepolis FC
0–3
L
24 Aug
vs Fajr Sepasi
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs ZOB Ahan
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Foolad FC – last 6
WWLDWD
8 Oct
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
2–1
W
7 Sep
vs Fajr Sepasi
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
0–2
L
28 Aug
vs Esteghlal FC
0–0
D
24 Aug
@ Sanat Naft
3–0
W
19 Aug
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malavan and Foolad FC.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Malavan vs Foolad FC?
On our numbers Malavan have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Foolad FC 42%.
How many goals will there be in Malavan vs Foolad FC?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malavan vs Foolad FC?
Our predicted score is Malavan 0–1 Foolad FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Malavan vs Foolad FC?
Malavan vs Foolad FC (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Takhti Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
