Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPersepolis FC to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.37
Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC preview and prediction
The match
Esteghlal FC host Persepolis FC in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Azadi Stadium. Esteghlal FC are 5th with 21 points from 11 games (in the top half), while Persepolis FC sit 2nd on 23 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Esteghlal FC's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Foolad FC 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Persepolis FC's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Malavan 3–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Esteghlal FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Esteghlal FC and 1.2 for Persepolis FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esteghlal FC 32%, draw 23%, Persepolis FC 44%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Esteghlal FC 1–1 Persepolis FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esteghlal FC32%fair 3.09 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @2.95
Persepolis FC44%fair 2.27 · @2.40
2.19Expected goals
0.98Esteghlal FC xG
1.21Persepolis FC xG
52%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–011%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 1.0 – 1.2 Persepolis FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Persepolis FC to win✗
44%
2.27
2.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Persepolis FC / FT Persepolis FC✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.37
–
Form
Esteghlal FC – last 6
DWWWWW
28 Aug
@ Foolad FC
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Sepahan FC
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Mes Shahr-e Babak
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Fajr Sepasi
2–1
W
22 Feb
@ Mes Rafsanjan
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Persepolis FC – last 5
WLWWL
29 Aug
vs Malavan
3–0
W
24 Aug
@ Tractor Sazi
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
4–1
W
15 Aug
@ Shams Azar Qazvin
2–0
W
20 Feb
vs Kheybar Khorramabad
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Persepolis FC.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Persepolis FC 44%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 1–1 Persepolis FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC?
Esteghlal FC vs Persepolis FC (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
