Value bet: Malavan to win @ 2.05 – our chance 52% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalavan to win ✗52% · @2.05
Double chanceMalavan or draw ✗78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.33
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.10
Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran preview and prediction
The match
Nassaji Mazandaran travel to Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium in the Persian Gulf Pro League on Wednesday 2 September (15:30 WAT) to face Malavan. Malavan are 15th with 10 points from 12 games (in the bottom half), while Nassaji Mazandaran sit 12th on 12 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Malavan's last 5: LLWDD Most recently they lost to Persepolis FC 0–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Nassaji Mazandaran's last 5: LDLLL Most recently they lost to Shams Azar Qazvin 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 1.2 for Malavan and 0.6 for Nassaji Mazandaran. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 75% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Malavan to win at 2.05 – 52% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Malavan 1–0 Nassaji Mazandaran. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malavan52%fair 1.92 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @2.65
Nassaji Mazandaran22%fair 4.45 · @4.20
1.78Expected goals
1.17Malavan xG
0.62Nassaji Mazandaran xG
45%Both score
25%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–017%
1–112%
2–011%
0–110%
2–17%
From our goals model: Malavan 1.2 – 0.6 Nassaji Mazandaran expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malavan to win✗
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Double chance
Malavan or draw✗
78%
1.29
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.33
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malavan / FT Malavan✗
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.10
–
Form
Malavan – last 6
LLWDDL
29 Aug
@ Persepolis FC
0–3
L
24 Aug
vs Fajr Sepasi
0–1
L
19 Aug
vs ZOB Ahan
2–1
W
15 Aug
@ Sanat Naft
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Tractor Sazi
1–1
D
14 Feb
@ Kheybar Khorramabad
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nassaji Mazandaran – last 6
LDLLLW
28 Aug
vs Shams Azar Qazvin
0–2
L
23 Aug
@ Esteghlal Khuzestan
1–1
D
18 Aug
vs Esteghlal FC
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Gol Gohar
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Ario Eslamshahr
1–2
L
11 Jul
@ Fard Alborz
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malavan and Nassaji Mazandaran.
What is the prediction for Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
On our numbers Malavan have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nassaji Mazandaran 22%.
How many goals will there be in Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 25% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Our predicted score is Malavan 1–0 Nassaji Mazandaran, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran?
Malavan vs Nassaji Mazandaran (Persian Gulf Pro League) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Sirous Ghayeghran Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
