Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva prediction & analysis
87%
Footrivo pick
Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Fundación Lara Deportiva to win @ 1.80 – our chance 65% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFundación Lara Deportiva to win ✗65% · @1.80
Double chanceFundación Lara Deportiva or draw ✗87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.10
Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva preview and prediction
The match
Fundación Lara Deportiva travel to face Atletico el Vigia FC in the Segunda División on Sunday 23 August (20:30 WAT). Atletico el Vigia FC are 5th with 44 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Fundación Lara Deportiva sit 2nd on 56 points (in the top four). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico el Vigia FC's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Real Frontera 4–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Fundación Lara Deportiva's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Aragua FC 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 May 2026, finished Fundación Lara Deportiva 5–0 Atletico el Vigia FC. Across their last 2 meetings Atletico el Vigia FC have won 0, Fundación Lara Deportiva 2, with 0 draws and 4.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.7 for Atletico el Vigia FC and 1.9 for Fundación Lara Deportiva. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 45%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico el Vigia FC 13%, draw 22%, Fundación Lara Deportiva 65%.
Safer route: Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw (87%) at 1.20.
Value angle: Fundación Lara Deportiva to win at 1.80 – 65% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atletico el Vigia FC 0–1 Fundación Lara Deportiva. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico el Vigia FC13%fair 7.81 · @3.75
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Fundación Lara Deportiva65%fair 1.53 · @1.80
2.60Expected goals
0.70Atletico el Vigia FC xG
1.90Fundación Lara Deportiva xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Atletico el Vigia FC 0.7 – 1.9 Fundación Lara Deportiva expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fundación Lara Deportiva to win✗
65%
1.53
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Fundación Lara Deportiva ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fundación Lara Deportiva / FT Fundación Lara Deportiva✗
What is the prediction for Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
Our pick is Fundación Lara Deportiva or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
On our numbers Atletico el Vigia FC have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fundación Lara Deportiva 65%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
Our predicted score is Atletico el Vigia FC 0–1 Fundación Lara Deportiva, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva?
Atletico el Vigia FC vs Fundación Lara Deportiva (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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