Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSəbail to win ✗57% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Səbail vs Cəbrayıl preview and prediction
The match
The Birinci Dasta sees Səbail take on Cəbrayıl on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 12:00 (WAT) at ASCO Arena. Səbail are 5th with 12 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Cəbrayıl sit 1st on 16 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Səbail's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Zira 1–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Cəbrayıl's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Xankəndi FK 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 30 April 2026, finished Səbail 6–0 Cəbrayıl. Across their last 2 meetings Səbail have won 2, Cəbrayıl 0, with 0 draws and 5.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for Səbail and 1.1 for Cəbrayıl. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score in 61% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Səbail 57%, draw 20%, Cəbrayıl 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.53.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.53. Predicted score: Səbail 1–1 Cəbrayıl. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Səbail57%fair 1.76 · @1.80
Draw20%fair 4.99 · @3.60
Cəbrayıl23%fair 4.32 · @3.60
2.93Expected goals
1.85Səbail xG
1.07Cəbrayıl xG
61%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Səbail 1.9 – 1.1 Cəbrayıl expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?
On our numbers Səbail have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Cəbrayıl 23%.
How many goals will there be in Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?
Our predicted score is Səbail 1–1 Cəbrayıl, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Səbail vs Cəbrayıl?
Səbail vs Cəbrayıl (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at ASCO Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
