Karvan host Şimal in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 5 November, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Yevlakh City Stadium. Karvan are 4th with 13 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Şimal sit 6th on 8 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Karvan's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Zangazur (Am) 4–1 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Şimal's last 5: LWWDL Most recently they lost to Araz 0–6 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.4 for Karvan and 0.9 for Şimal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 57% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Karvan 69%, draw 22%, Şimal 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.64.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Karvan to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Karvan 2–0 Şimal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Karvan69%fair 1.45 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.90
Şimal10%fair 10.47 · @5.25
3.24Expected goals
2.38Karvan xG
0.86Şimal xG
57%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: Karvan 2.4 – 0.9 Şimal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karvan to win✓
69%
1.45
1.48
Double chance
Karvan or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.77
1.64
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Half-time result
Karvan ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karvan / FT Karvan✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.03
–
Form
Karvan – last 6
WLWDWL
29 Oct
@ Zangazur (Am)
4–1
W
22 Oct
@ MOIK
1–3
L
16 Oct
vs Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Səbail
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Zaqatala
3–0
W
9 Sep
@ Şahdağ
0–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Şimal – last 6
LWWDLD
27 Oct
vs Araz
0–6
L
22 Oct
vs Baku Sportinq
5–2
W
15 Oct
@ Mingəçevir
4–1
W
9 Oct
vs Xankəndi FK
1–1
D
17 Sep
vs Şahdağ
1–4
L
11 Sep
@ MOIK
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Karvan and Şimal.
Our pick is Karvan to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Karvan vs Şimal?
On our numbers Karvan have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Şimal 10%.
How many goals will there be in Karvan vs Şimal?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Karvan vs Şimal?
Our predicted score is Karvan 2–0 Şimal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Karvan vs Şimal?
Karvan vs Şimal (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
