Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultŞimal to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceŞimal or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.76
Şimal vs Baku Sportinq preview and prediction
The match
Baku Sportinq travel to face Şimal in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 22 October (12:00 WAT). Şimal are 6th with 8 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Baku Sportinq sit 10th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Şimal's last 5: WDLDL Most recently they beat Mingəçevir 4–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Baku Sportinq's last 5: LLLLL Most recently they lost to MOIK 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Şimal arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.3 points a game against 0.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 April 2026, finished Şimal 1–0 Baku Sportinq.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.1 for Şimal and 0.9 for Baku Sportinq. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 55% and both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şimal 64%, draw 22%, Baku Sportinq 14%.
Safer route: Şimal or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Şimal to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Şimal 2–0 Baku Sportinq. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şimal64%fair 1.56 · @1.80
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.50
Baku Sportinq14%fair 7.36 · @3.70
2.93Expected goals
2.07Şimal xG
0.86Baku Sportinq xG
47%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Şimal 2.1 – 0.9 Baku Sportinq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Our pick is Şimal to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
On our numbers Şimal have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Baku Sportinq 14%.
How many goals will there be in Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Our predicted score is Şimal 2–0 Baku Sportinq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Şimal vs Baku Sportinq?
Şimal vs Baku Sportinq (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
