Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13
MOIK vs Karvan preview and prediction
The match
Karvan travel to face MOIK in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 22 October (12:00 WAT). MOIK are 3rd with 14 points from 7 games (in the top four), while Karvan sit 4th on 13 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
MOIK's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Baku Sportinq 3–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Karvan's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Cəbrayıl 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for MOIK and 1.3 for Karvan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: MOIK 37%, draw 23%, Karvan 41%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 50% chance at odds of 1.95. Predicted score: MOIK 1–1 Karvan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
MOIK37%fair 2.72 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.40
Karvan41%fair 2.46 · @2.50
2.61Expected goals
1.27MOIK xG
1.35Karvan xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: MOIK 1.3 – 1.3 Karvan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Karvan to win✗
41%
2.46
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Karvan / FT Karvan✗
22%
4.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
10.13
–
Form
MOIK – last 6
WWWDLW
16 Oct
@ Baku Sportinq
3–1
W
9 Oct
vs Mingəçevir
3–0
W
18 Sep
@ Xankəndi FK
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Şimal
1–1
D
3 Sep
vs Şahdağ
0–1
L
21 May
vs Difai Ağsu
4–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Karvan – last 6
WDWLWD
16 Oct
vs Cəbrayıl
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Səbail
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Zaqatala
3–0
W
9 Sep
@ Şahdağ
0–2
L
3 Sep
@ Baku Sportinq
3–0
W
24 May
@ Imisli FK
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between MOIK and Karvan.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win MOIK vs Karvan?
On our numbers MOIK have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Karvan 41%.
How many goals will there be in MOIK vs Karvan?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for MOIK vs Karvan?
Our predicted score is MOIK 1–1 Karvan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is MOIK vs Karvan?
MOIK vs Karvan (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
