Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.83
Şahdağ vs Səbail preview and prediction
The match
Şahdağ host Səbail in the Birinci Dasta on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT). Şahdağ are 2nd with 15 points from 6 games (in the top four), while Səbail sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Şahdağ's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Xankəndi FK 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Səbail's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Zaqatala 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Şahdağ and 1.4 for Səbail. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Şahdağ 35%, draw 24%, Səbail 41%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 53% chance at odds of 1.73. Predicted score: Şahdağ 1–1 Səbail. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Şahdağ35%fair 2.86 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.19 · @3.20
Səbail41%fair 2.43 · @2.40
2.60Expected goals
1.23Şahdağ xG
1.36Səbail xG
47%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Şahdağ 1.2 – 1.4 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Səbail to win✗
41%
2.43
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Səbail / FT Səbail✗
23%
4.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.83
–
Form
Şahdağ – last 6
LWWWWD
15 Oct
@ Xankəndi FK
0–1
L
7 Oct
vs Zaqatala
6–0
W
17 Sep
@ Şimal
4–1
W
9 Sep
vs Karvan
2–0
W
3 Sep
@ MOIK
1–0
W
22 May
vs Baku Sportinq
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Səbail – last 6
WDWWDL
15 Oct
@ Zaqatala
3–1
W
8 Oct
vs Karvan
1–1
D
17 Sep
@ Baku Sportinq
1–0
W
10 Sep
vs Mingəçevir
2–1
W
3 Sep
@ Xankəndi FK
1–1
D
22 May
@ Mingəçevir
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Şahdağ and Səbail.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Şahdağ vs Səbail?
On our numbers Şahdağ have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Səbail 41%.
How many goals will there be in Şahdağ vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şahdağ vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Şahdağ 1–1 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Şahdağ vs Səbail?
Şahdağ vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
