Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.56
Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir preview and prediction
The match
Mingəçevir travel to face Xankəndi FK in the Birinci Dasta on Wednesday 21 October (12:00 WAT). Xankəndi FK are 7th with 6 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Mingəçevir sit 9th on 4 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Xankəndi FK's last 5: WDLLD Most recently they beat Şahdağ 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Mingəçevir's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Şimal 1–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Xankəndi FK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.2 for Xankəndi FK and 0.7 for Mingəçevir. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 46% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Xankəndi FK 73%, draw 17%, Mingəçevir 11%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 58% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Xankəndi FK 3–0 Mingəçevir. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xankəndi FK73%fair 1.38 · @1.14
Draw17%fair 5.98 · @7.00
Mingəçevir11%fair 9.32 · @13.00
2.93Expected goals
2.23Xankəndi FK xG
0.70Mingəçevir xG
46%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Xankəndi FK 2.2 – 0.7 Mingəçevir expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xankəndi FK to win✗
73%
1.38
1.14
Double chance
Xankəndi FK or draw✗
89%
1.12
1.01
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Xankəndi FK ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xankəndi FK / FT Xankəndi FK✗
48%
2.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.56
–
Form
Xankəndi FK – last 5
WDLLD
15 Oct
vs Şahdağ
1–0
W
9 Oct
@ Şimal
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs MOIK
0–2
L
10 Sep
@ Cəbrayıl
1–2
L
3 Sep
vs Səbail
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Mingəçevir – last 6
LLLLDL
15 Oct
vs Şimal
1–4
L
9 Oct
@ MOIK
0–3
L
17 Sep
vs Cəbrayıl
0–3
L
10 Sep
@ Səbail
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Zaqatala
2–2
D
28 May
@ Qabala
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xankəndi FK and Mingəçevir.
What is the prediction for Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
On our numbers Xankəndi FK have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Mingəçevir 11%.
How many goals will there be in Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
Our predicted score is Xankəndi FK 3–0 Mingəçevir, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir?
Xankəndi FK vs Mingəçevir (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
