Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSəbail to win ✓62% · @1.70
Double chanceSəbail or draw ✓83% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓12% · fair 8.31
Baku Sportinq vs Səbail preview and prediction
The match
Səbail travel to face Baku Sportinq in the Birinci Dasta on Thursday 17 September (13:30 WAT). Baku Sportinq are 10th with 1 points from 7 games (in the bottom three), while Səbail sit 5th on 12 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Baku Sportinq's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Zaqatala 0–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Səbail's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Mingəçevir 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Səbail arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 2 April 2026, finished Səbail 1–0 Baku Sportinq. Across their last 2 meetings Baku Sportinq have won 0, Səbail 1, with 1 draw and 0.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Baku Sportinq and 1.9 for Səbail. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Baku Sportinq 17%, draw 21%, Səbail 62%.
Safer route: Səbail or draw (83%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Səbail to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Baku Sportinq 0–1 Səbail. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Baku Sportinq17%fair 5.88 · @4.40
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Səbail62%fair 1.63 · @1.70
2.75Expected goals
0.87Baku Sportinq xG
1.88Səbail xG
57%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Baku Sportinq 0.9 – 1.9 Səbail expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
Our pick is Səbail to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
On our numbers Baku Sportinq have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Səbail 62%.
How many goals will there be in Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
Our predicted score is Baku Sportinq 0–1 Səbail, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Baku Sportinq vs Səbail?
Baku Sportinq vs Səbail (Birinci Dasta) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
