Wednesday, 11 November 2026 13 live now Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Today's tips
AFC Cup · Asia · Jalan Besar Stadium

Home United

WWWWW
5–0
FT

Adelaide United

LLLWW

Home United vs Adelaide United prediction & analysis

68%
Footrivo pick

Home United to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.46 · bookmaker 1.51 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.51Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultHome United to win ✓68% · @1.51
Double chanceHome United or draw ✓86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.09
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.71

Home United vs Adelaide United preview and prediction

The match

Home United host Adelaide United in the AFC Cup on Thursday 5 November, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Jalan Besar Stadium. Home United are 1st with 10 points from 4 games, while Adelaide United sit 3rd on 6 points.

Form guide

Home United's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Balestier Khalsa 4–0 away. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Adelaide United's last 5: LLLWW Most recently they lost to Perth Glory 0–4 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Home United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 29 October 2026, finished Adelaide United 0–2 Home United.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Home United and 0.7 for Adelaide United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 58%, both teams to score at 57%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Home United to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.51, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Home United 2–0 Adelaide United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Home United68%fair 1.46 · @1.51
Draw17%fair 5.72 · @4.15
Adelaide United14%fair 7.08 · @4.65
2.74Expected goals
2.00Home United xG
0.74Adelaide United xG
57%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–013%
1–013%
2–110%
1–110%
3–09%
0–06%

From our goals model: Home United 2.0 – 0.7 Adelaide United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultHome United to win ✓68%1.461.51
Double chanceHome United or draw ✓86%1.161.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.50
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.09
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.41
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗64%1.571.62
Half-time resultHome United ahead at half-time ✓48%2.10–
Half-time / full-timeHT Home United / FT Home United ✓43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13%7.71–

Form

Home United – last 6

WWWWWW
1 Nov@ Balestier Khalsa4–0W
29 Oct@ Adelaide United2–0W
25 Octvs Tanjong Pagar6–0W
18 Oct@ Albirex Niigata S2–0W
15 Oct@ Wofoo Tai Po1–0W
11 Octvs Young Lions6–1W
3.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Adelaide United – last 6

LLLWWL
1 Nov@ Perth Glory0–4L
29 Octvs Home United0–2L
25 Oct@ Sydney1–2L
15 Oct@ BG Pathum United2–1W
3 Oct@ Perth Glory3–1W
27 Sep@ Perth Glory0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Oct 2026Adelaide United v Home United0–2
Home United vs Adelaide United head-to-head page →

AFC Cup table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Home United4310+810
2BG Pathum United4211+57
3Adelaide United4202-36
4Wofoo Tai Po4004-100

More AFC Cup predictions

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FT Kitchee2 Phnom Penh Crown1 135%2.06X21%3.40244%2.95 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.64 ✓
FT Machida Zelvia2 Shanghai Shenhua1 171%1.31X18%4.55211%7.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.43 ✓
FT Kuching FA2 Gangwon FC0 114%4.20X19%3.72267%1.64 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.24 ✓
FT BG Pathum United4 Wofoo Tai Po1 169%1.15X21%5.70211%13.50 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 64%@1.54 ✗
FT Svay Rieng2 Tampines Rovers0 165%1.46X20%4.25214%5.05 1Svay Rieng to win 65%@1.46 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Home United vs Adelaide United?

Our pick is Home United to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.51.

Who will win Home United vs Adelaide United?

On our numbers Home United have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Adelaide United 14%.

How many goals will there be in Home United vs Adelaide United?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Home United vs Adelaide United?

Our predicted score is Home United 2–0 Adelaide United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Home United vs Adelaide United?

Home United vs Adelaide United (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Jalan Besar Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.