Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.64 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.64Odds
2
Value bet: Phnom Penh Crown to win @ 2.95 – our chance 44% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +31%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPhnom Penh Crown to win ✗44% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.39
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.10
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.81
Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown preview and prediction
The match
The AFC Cup sees Kitchee take on Phnom Penh Crown on Thursday 5 November, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Mong Kok Stadium. Kitchee are 2nd with 5 points from 4 games, while Phnom Penh Crown sit 1st on 9 points.
Form guide
Kitchee's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Phnom Penh Crown 0–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Phnom Penh Crown's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Kompong Dewa 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Phnom Penh Crown arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 October 2026, finished Phnom Penh Crown 2–0 Kitchee.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.2 for Kitchee and 1.4 for Phnom Penh Crown. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 62%.
Value angle: Phnom Penh Crown to win at 2.95 – 44% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.64, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kitchee 1–1 Phnom Penh Crown. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kitchee35%fair 2.85 · @2.06
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.40
Phnom Penh Crown44%fair 2.25 · @2.95
2.63Expected goals
1.22Kitchee xG
1.41Phnom Penh Crown xG
62%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–09%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Kitchee 1.2 – 1.4 Phnom Penh Crown expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.64.
Who will win Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
On our numbers Kitchee have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Phnom Penh Crown 44%.
How many goals will there be in Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Our predicted score is Kitchee 1–1 Phnom Penh Crown, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown?
Kitchee vs Phnom Penh Crown (AFC Cup) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mong Kok Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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