Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 2.15 – our chance 54% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✗54% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.28
Buriram United vs Kashima preview and prediction
The match
Kashima travel to Chang Arena in the AFC Champions League on Wednesday 4 November (13:15 WAT) to face Buriram United. Buriram United are 12th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Kashima sit 2nd on 10 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Buriram United's last 5: DLWWL Most recently they drew with Gamba Osaka 1–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.5 per game.
Kashima's last 5: WWLDW Most recently they beat Cerezo Osaka 4–1 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Buriram United and 1.8 for Kashima. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buriram United 26%, draw 21%, Kashima 54%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 2.15 – 54% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Buriram United 1–1 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buriram United26%fair 3.85 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.87 · @3.50
Kashima54%fair 1.87 · @2.15
2.94Expected goals
1.16Buriram United xG
1.79Kashima xG
61%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Buriram United 1.2 – 1.8 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✗
54%
1.87
2.15 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
39%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
32%
3.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Buriram United – last 6
DLWWLW
28 Oct
@ Gamba Osaka
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Sisaket United
2–3
L
21 Oct
vs DPU Thayang FC
8–0
W
18 Oct
@ Pattani
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Beijing Guoan
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Rayong FC
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 6
WWLDWW
31 Oct
vs Cerezo Osaka
4–1
W
28 Oct
vs Pohang Steelers
3–0
W
24 Oct
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–3
L
21 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
13 Oct
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Kashima.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Kashima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Buriram United vs Kashima?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kashima 54%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Kashima?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 1–1 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Kashima?
Buriram United vs Kashima (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
