Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Gamba Osaka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Gamba Osaka to win @ 1.95 – our chance 62% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗62% · @1.95
Double chanceGamba Osaka or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.13
Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Pohang Steelers host Gamba Osaka in the AFC Champions League on Wednesday 4 November, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Pohang Steel Yard. Pohang Steelers are 15th with 1 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Gamba Osaka sit 3rd on 8 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Pohang Steelers's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Jeju United FC 1–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Gamba Osaka's last 5: DDDWD Most recently they drew with Machida Zelvia 0–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gamba Osaka arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 February 2026, finished Gamba Osaka 2–1 Pohang Steelers.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 0.9 for Pohang Steelers and 2.0 for Gamba Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Gamba Osaka to win at 1.95 – 62% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gamba Osaka or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Pohang Steelers 0–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pohang Steelers17%fair 5.75 · @3.50
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.40
Gamba Osaka62%fair 1.60 · @1.95
2.89Expected goals
0.92Pohang Steelers xG
1.97Gamba Osaka xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Pohang Steelers 0.9 – 2.0 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Gamba Osaka or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Pohang Steelers have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Gamba Osaka 62%.
How many goals will there be in Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Pohang Steelers 0–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka?
Pohang Steelers vs Gamba Osaka (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 4 November 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Pohang Steel Yard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
