Value bet: Al Shamal to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultEsteghlal FC to win ✓44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal preview and prediction
The match
Esteghlal FC host Al Shamal in the AFC Champions League on Tuesday 3 November, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Basra Sports City. Esteghlal FC are 3rd with 9 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Al Shamal sit 8th on 5 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Esteghlal FC's last 5: LDDWD Most recently they lost to Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 0–2 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Al Shamal's last 5: LWLDD Most recently they lost to Al Sadd 1–4 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Esteghlal FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Esteghlal FC and 1.1 for Al Shamal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esteghlal FC 44%, draw 22%, Al Shamal 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Al Shamal to win at 3.20 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Esteghlal FC 1–1 Al Shamal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esteghlal FC44%fair 2.28 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Al Shamal34%fair 2.90 · @3.20
2.42Expected goals
1.31Esteghlal FC xG
1.11Al Shamal xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Esteghlal FC 1.3 – 1.1 Al Shamal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Esteghlal FC to win✓
44%
2.28
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Esteghlal FC / FT Esteghlal FC✗
24%
4.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Form
Esteghlal FC – last 6
LDDWDW
27 Oct
@ Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
0–2
L
23 Oct
@ Chadormalu SC
1–1
D
19 Oct
vs Gol Gohar
1–1
D
12 Oct
@ Al-Gharafa
2–1
W
8 Oct
@ Tractor Sazi
1–1
D
14 Sep
vs Al Sadd
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al Shamal – last 6
LWLDDL
30 Oct
@ Al Sadd
1–4
L
27 Oct
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3–1
W
23 Oct
vs Qatar SC
2–3
L
16 Oct
@ Lusail City
0–0
D
12 Oct
@ Tractor Sazi
0–0
D
8 Oct
vs Al-Duhail SC
0–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Al Shamal.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Shamal 34%.
How many goals will there be in Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
Our predicted score is Esteghlal FC 1–1 Al Shamal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal?
Esteghlal FC vs Al Shamal (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Basra Sports City.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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