Value bet: Over 3.5 goals @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSHANGHAI SIPG to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓71% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.52
Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG preview and prediction
The match
The AFC Champions League sees Newcastle Jets take on SHANGHAI SIPG on Tuesday 3 November, kicking off at 08:45 (WAT) at McDonald Jones Stadium. Newcastle Jets are 16th with 0 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while SHANGHAI SIPG sit 5th on 7 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Newcastle Jets's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Wellington Phoenix 0–3 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 3.5 conceded.
SHANGHAI SIPG's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Công An Nhân Dân 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game.
SHANGHAI SIPG arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.7 goals: 1.8 for Newcastle Jets and 2.9 for SHANGHAI SIPG. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 71%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Over 3.5 goals at 1.91 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.40, above our fair price of 1.32, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Newcastle Jets 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle Jets20%fair 4.90 · @3.30
Draw20%fair 5.05 · @4.00
SHANGHAI SIPG60%fair 1.67 · @1.83
4.71Expected goals
1.78Newcastle Jets xG
2.92SHANGHAI SIPG xG
71%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–45%
1–15%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.8 – 2.9 SHANGHAI SIPG expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SHANGHAI SIPG to win✓
60%
1.67
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
1.11
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.91 ▲
Half-time result
SHANGHAI SIPG ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SHANGHAI SIPG / FT SHANGHAI SIPG✓
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.52
–
Form
Newcastle Jets – last 6
LLDDLL
31 Oct
vs Wellington Phoenix
0–3
L
27 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–5
L
24 Oct
vs Macarthur
1–1
D
17 Oct
@ Central Coast Mariners
2–2
D
13 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
1–3
L
15 Sep
@ Kashima
1–7
L
1.2Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
SHANGHAI SIPG – last 6
LWWDWW
27 Oct
vs Công An Nhân Dân
2–3
L
24 Oct
@ Tianjin Teda
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Chengdu Better City
3–0
W
13 Oct
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Hangzhou Greentown
4–2
W
15 Sep
@ Ratchaburi
6–4
W
3.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle Jets and SHANGHAI SIPG.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 20% and SHANGHAI SIPG 60%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 71% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–2 SHANGHAI SIPG, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG?
Newcastle Jets vs SHANGHAI SIPG (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Esteghlal FC1
Al Shamal0