Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction & analysis
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.43 · bookmaker 1.31 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Al-Gharafa 0.8 – 2.3 Al-Qadisiyah FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Al-Qadisiyah FC travel as clear favourites – 70% to win, against 10% for Al-Gharafa.
Al-Gharafa have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Al-Qadisiyah FC have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 2.2 scored and 1.0 conceded. Al-Qadisiyah FC come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.0 goals (0.8 for Al-Gharafa, 2.3 for Al-Qadisiyah FC). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 0–2 (12%), 0–1 (11%), 1–2 (9%).
Our pick is Al-Qadisiyah FC to win at a 70% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.31 is close to our fair price of 1.43.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Al-Qadisiyah FC to win ✓ | 70% | 1.43 | 1.31 |
| Double chance | Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw ✓ | 90% | 1.11 | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 62% | 1.62 | 1.40 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.66 | 1.62 |
| Half-time result | Al-Qadisiyah FC ahead at half-time ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Al-Qadisiyah FC / FT Al-Qadisiyah FC ✓ | 47% | 2.11 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 12% | 8.06 | – |
Form
Al-Gharafa – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Qatar SC | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1–2 | L |
| 22 Oct | vs Al Ahli Doha | 2–2 | D |
| 16 Oct | @ Al-Rayyan SC | 0–0 | D |
| 12 Oct | vs Esteghlal FC | 1–2 | L |
| 8 Oct | @ Al Wakrah | 2–3 | L |
Al-Qadisiyah FC – last 6
| 29 Oct | @ Al Riyadh | 6–0 | W |
| 26 Oct | vs Al Sadd | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Oct | vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Oct | @ Al Taawon | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Oct | vs Abha | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Pakhtakor | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Gharafa and Al-Qadisiyah FC.
AFC Champions League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 4 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Esteghlal FC | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Al-Nassr | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Al Shamal | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Neftchi | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Al-Wasl FC | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Tractor Sazi | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 |  Pakhtakor | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 |  Al Sadd | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Al-Gharafa | 4 | -8 | 0 |
More AFC Champions League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Our pick is Al-Qadisiyah FC to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.31.
Who will win Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
On our numbers Al-Gharafa have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al-Qadisiyah FC 70%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
When is Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Al-Gharafa vs Al-Qadisiyah FC (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Thani bin Jassim Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.