Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.66 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Al Sadd 1.0 – 2.1 Al-Ahli Jeddah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Al-Ahli Jeddah travel as clear favourites – 61% to win, against 17% for Al Sadd.
Al Sadd have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 2.2 and conceding 1.7 per game. Al-Ahli Jeddah have 15 points from their last 6 (5W 0D 1L), averaging 2.8 scored and 1.8 conceded. Al-Ahli Jeddah come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 3.1 goals (1.0 for Al Sadd, 2.1 for Al-Ahli Jeddah). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on this projection. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 0–2 (10%), 1–2 (10%), 0–1 (10%).
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 59% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.66 is close to our fair price of 1.68.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Al-Ahli Jeddah to win ✗ | 61% | 1.64 | 1.49 |
| Double chance | Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw ✓ | 83% | 1.20 | 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.45 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.37 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 59% | 1.68 | 1.66 |
| Half-time result | Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time ✗ | 45% | 2.21 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah ✗ | 40% | 2.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–2 ✗ | 10% | 10.03 | – |
Form
Al Sadd – last 6
| 30 Oct | vs Al Shamal | 4–1 | W |
| 26 Oct | @ Al-Qadisiyah FC | 1–1 | D |
| 22 Oct | @ Al Shahaniya | 4–0 | W |
| 18 Oct | vs Al-Duhail SC | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Oct | vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0–2 | L |
| 9 Oct | vs Al-Arabi SC | 2–3 | L |
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
| 30 Oct | @ Al Shabab | 1–6 | L |
| 26 Oct | vs Al-Gharafa | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Oct | vs Al Khaleej Saihat | 4–1 | W |
| 19 Oct | @ Al-Fayha | 3–2 | W |
| 12 Oct | @ Al-Wasl FC | 3–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Al-Fateh | 4–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Sadd and Al-Ahli Jeddah.
AFC Champions League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 4 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Esteghlal FC | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Al-Nassr | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Al Shamal | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Neftchi | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Al-Wasl FC | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Tractor Sazi | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 |  Pakhtakor | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 |  Al Sadd | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Al-Gharafa | 4 | -8 | 0 |
More AFC Champions League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.66.
Who will win Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
On our numbers Al Sadd have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al-Ahli Jeddah 61%.
How many goals will there be in Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
When is Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
Al Sadd vs Al-Ahli Jeddah (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 2 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Jassim Bin Hamad Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.