Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓87% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.94
Kashima vs Pohang Steelers preview and prediction
The match
Pohang Steelers travel to Mercari Stadium in the AFC Champions League on Wednesday 28 October (11:00 WAT) to face Kashima. Kashima are 2nd with 10 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Pohang Steelers sit 15th on 1 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Kashima's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Kashiwa Reysol 2–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pohang Steelers's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Ulsan Hyundai FC 2–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.8 goals: 2.6 for Kashima and 1.1 for Pohang Steelers. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 72% and both teams to score at 62%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 62% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.61, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Kashima 2–1 Pohang Steelers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashima67%fair 1.49 · @1.25
Draw20%fair 5.00 · @5.50
Pohang Steelers13%fair 7.70 · @9.50
3.75Expected goals
2.60Kashima xG
1.15Pohang Steelers xG
62%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Kashima 2.6 – 1.1 Pohang Steelers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✓
67%
1.49
1.25
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✗
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
46%
2.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.94
–
Form
Kashima – last 6
LDWWWW
24 Oct
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–3
L
21 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
13 Oct
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–0
W
9 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
23 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pohang Steelers – last 6
DDLLWL
24 Oct
@ Ulsan Hyundai FC
2–2
D
18 Oct
vs FC Anyang
0–0
D
13 Oct
vs Johor Darul Takzim FC
0–2
L
9 Oct
@ Incheon United
0–3
L
20 Sep
vs FC Seoul
2–1
W
15 Sep
@ Beijing Guoan
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashima and Pohang Steelers.
What is the prediction for Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
On our numbers Kashima have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Pohang Steelers 13%.
How many goals will there be in Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
Our predicted score is Kashima 2–1 Pohang Steelers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Kashima vs Pohang Steelers?
Kashima vs Pohang Steelers (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Mercari Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
