Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Gamba Osaka or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Gamba Osaka to win @ 1.70 – our chance 64% vs 59% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGamba Osaka to win ✗64% · @1.70
Double chanceGamba Osaka or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.36
Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United preview and prediction
The match
The AFC Champions League sees Gamba Osaka take on Buriram United on Wednesday 28 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at Panasonic Stadium Suita. Gamba Osaka are 3rd with 8 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Buriram United sit 12th on 3 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Gamba Osaka's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Kyoto Sanga 2–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Buriram United's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Sisaket United 2–3 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Gamba Osaka and 0.8 for Buriram United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gamba Osaka 64%, draw 20%, Buriram United 17%.
Safer route: Gamba Osaka or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Gamba Osaka to win at 1.70 – 64% on our numbers against 59% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gamba Osaka or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Gamba Osaka 1–0 Buriram United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gamba Osaka64%fair 1.57 · @1.70
Draw20%fair 5.11 · @3.60
Buriram United17%fair 6.03 · @4.40
2.60Expected goals
1.83Gamba Osaka xG
0.77Buriram United xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Gamba Osaka 1.8 – 0.8 Buriram United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✗
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Gamba Osaka or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Gamba Osaka ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.36
–
Form
Gamba Osaka – last 6
DWDWLD
24 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
2–2
D
21 Oct
@ Avispa Fukuoka
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Shimizu S-pulse
2–2
D
13 Oct
@ Newcastle Jets
3–1
W
9 Oct
@ Kashima
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–3
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Buriram United – last 6
LWWLWD
24 Oct
vs Sisaket United
2–3
L
21 Oct
vs DPU Thayang FC
8–0
W
18 Oct
@ Pattani
1–0
W
13 Oct
vs Beijing Guoan
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Rayong FC
3–2
W
7 Oct
vs Pusamania Borneo
0–0
D
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gamba Osaka and Buriram United.
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
Our pick is Gamba Osaka or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
On our numbers Gamba Osaka have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Buriram United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
Our predicted score is Gamba Osaka 1–0 Buriram United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United?
Gamba Osaka vs Buriram United (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Panasonic Stadium Suita.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
