Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: Beijing Guoan to win @ 3.30 – our chance 39% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBeijing Guoan to win ✓39% · @3.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan preview and prediction
The match
Beijing Guoan travel to Chang Arena in the AFC Champions League on Tuesday 13 October (13:15 WAT) to face Buriram United. Buriram United are 12th with 3 points from 4 games (in the bottom half), while Beijing Guoan sit 9th on 7 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Buriram United's last 5: WDWDD Most recently they beat Rayong FC 3–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Beijing Guoan's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Qingdao Jonoon 3–0 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Buriram United and 1.5 for Beijing Guoan. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Buriram United 37%, draw 24%, Beijing Guoan 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.60.
Value angle: Beijing Guoan to win at 3.30 – 39% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.60. Predicted score: Buriram United 1–1 Beijing Guoan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Buriram United37%fair 2.70 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.30
Beijing Guoan39%fair 2.55 · @3.30
3.00Expected goals
1.47Buriram United xG
1.53Beijing Guoan xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Buriram United 1.5 – 1.5 Beijing Guoan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Beijing Guoan to win✓
39%
2.55
3.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Beijing Guoan / FT Beijing Guoan✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.71
–
Form
Buriram United – last 6
WDWDDW
10 Oct
vs Rayong FC
3–2
W
7 Oct
vs Pusamania Borneo
0–0
D
20 Sep
@ Chonburi FC
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Johor Darul Takzim FC
1–1
D
11 Sep
vs Chiangrai United
1–1
D
6 Sep
@ Sukhothai FC
3–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Beijing Guoan – last 6
WWDWDD
9 Oct
@ Qingdao Jonoon
3–0
W
15 Sep
vs Pohang Steelers
3–1
W
5 Sep
@ SHANGHAI SIPG
0–0
D
1 Sep
vs Rizhao Yuqi
3–1
W
28 Aug
@ Dalian Zhixing
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Yunnan Yukun
3–3
D
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buriram United and Beijing Guoan.
What is the prediction for Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
On our numbers Buriram United have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Beijing Guoan 39%.
How many goals will there be in Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
Our predicted score is Buriram United 1–1 Beijing Guoan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan?
Buriram United vs Beijing Guoan (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 13:15 (West Africa Time) at Chang Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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