Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Newcastle Jets host Gamba Osaka in the AFC Champions League on Tuesday 13 October, with kick-off at 08:45 (WAT) at McDonald Jones Stadium. Newcastle Jets are 16th with 0 points from 4 games (in the bottom three), while Gamba Osaka sit 3rd on 8 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Newcastle Jets's last 5: LLDWD Most recently they lost to Kashima 1–7 away. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Gamba Osaka's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Kashima 0–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.7 goals: 1.8 for Newcastle Jets and 2.9 for Gamba Osaka. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score in 69% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Newcastle Jets 1–2 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Newcastle Jets22%fair 4.57 · @3.60
Draw18%fair 5.61 · @4.00
Gamba Osaka60%fair 1.66 · @1.70
4.67Expected goals
1.78Newcastle Jets xG
2.89Gamba Osaka xG
69%Both score
84%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–27%
1–37%
2–26%
2–36%
1–45%
1–15%
From our goals model: Newcastle Jets 1.8 – 2.9 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gamba Osaka to win✓
60%
1.66
1.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Gamba Osaka ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gamba Osaka / FT Gamba Osaka✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.35
–
Form
Newcastle Jets – last 6
LLDWDD
15 Sep
@ Kashima
1–7
L
21 Jul
@ Preston Lions
2–3
L
9 May
@ Sydney
1–1
D
25 Apr
vs Central Coast Mariners
4–0
W
17 Apr
@ Melbourne Victory
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Adelaide United
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gamba Osaka – last 6
LDWLWL
9 Oct
@ Kashima
0–2
L
3 Oct
@ Kashiwa Reysol
3–3
D
23 Sep
vs Tokushima Vortis
5–0
W
20 Sep
vs Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Công An Nhân Dân
4–1
W
12 Sep
vs FC Tokyo
0–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Newcastle Jets and Gamba Osaka.
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Newcastle Jets have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gamba Osaka 60%.
How many goals will there be in Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 4.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 84% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Newcastle Jets 1–2 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.7 goals in total.
When is Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka?
Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 08:45 (West Africa Time) at McDonald Jones Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Al Sadd0
Al-Hilal Saudi FC2