Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC prediction & analysis
Al-Qadisiyah FC to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 0.7 – 2.0 Al-Qadisiyah FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Al-Qadisiyah FC travel as clear favourites – 67% to win, against 13% for Pakhtakor.
Pakhtakor have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Al-Qadisiyah FC have 16 points from their last 6 (5W 1D 0L), averaging 3.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (0.7 for Pakhtakor, 2.0 for Al-Qadisiyah FC). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 0–1 (14%), 0–2 (13%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Al-Qadisiyah FC to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is better than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Al-Qadisiyah FC to win ✗ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | Al-Qadisiyah FC or draw ✓ | 87% | 1.15 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 55% | 1.82 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 75% | 1.34 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 72% | 1.39 | – |
| Half-time result | Al-Qadisiyah FC ahead at half-time ✓ | 47% | 2.12 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Al-Qadisiyah FC / FT Al-Qadisiyah FC ✗ | 43% | 2.34 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 14% | 7.39 | – |
Form
Pakhtakor – last 6
| 9 Oct | vs Bunyodkor | 3–1 | W |
| 19 Sep | @ Mash'al | 2–1 | W |
| 14 Sep | @ Al-Ahli Jeddah | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Sep | @ Olmaliq | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Andijan | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Neftchi | 0–1 | L |
Al-Qadisiyah FC – last 6
| 9 Oct | @ Al Kholood | 5–0 | W |
| 14 Sep | vs Al-Wasl FC | 2–1 | W |
| 11 Sep | vs Al-Ettifaq | 3–3 | D |
| 8 Sep | vs Al-Ahli Jeddah | 3–2 | W |
| 3 Sep | @ Al Diriyah | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | vs Al-Faisaly FC | 3–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Al-Qadisiyah FC.
AFC Champions League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 4 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Esteghlal FC | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Al-Nassr | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Al Shamal | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Neftchi | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Al-Wasl FC | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Tractor Sazi | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 |  Pakhtakor | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 |  Al Sadd | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Al-Gharafa | 4 | -8 | 0 |
More AFC Champions League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Our pick is Al-Qadisiyah FC to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Al-Qadisiyah FC 67%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
When is Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Pakhtakor vs Al-Qadisiyah FC (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 14:45 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Markaziy Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.