Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor prediction & analysis
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win
Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 – 0.9 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Al-Ahli Jeddah are clear favourites at home with a 68% chance of winning, against 17% for Pakhtakor.
Al-Ahli Jeddah have taken 9 points from their last 6 matches (3W 0D 3L), scoring 2.0 and conceding 1.7 per game. Pakhtakor have 11 points from their last 6 (3W 2D 1L), averaging 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 3.0 goals (2.1 for Al-Ahli Jeddah, 0.9 for Pakhtakor). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 2–0 (11%), 1–0 (11%), 2–1 (10%).
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win at a 68% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.25 is close to our fair price of 1.47.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Al-Ahli Jeddah to win ✗ | 68% | 1.47 | 1.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 85% | 1.18 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 56% | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 65% | 1.55 | – |
| Half-time result | Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time ✗ | 48% | 2.09 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah ✗ | 43% | 2.33 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 ✗ | 11% | 8.93 | – |
Form
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
| 11 Sep | vs Al-Hazm | 3–1 | W |
| 8 Sep | @ Al-Qadisiyah FC | 2–3 | L |
| 4 Sep | vs Al Riyadh | 5–0 | W |
| 1 Sep | @ Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 0–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | @ Al Kholood | 1–3 | L |
| 26 Aug | vs Auckland | 1–0 | W |
Pakhtakor – last 6
| 9 Sep | @ Olmaliq | 3–1 | W |
| 4 Sep | vs Andijan | 3–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | @ Neftchi | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Aug | @ Dinamo Samarqand | 1–1 | D |
| 21 Aug | vs Surkhon | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Aug | @ Nasaf | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Pakhtakor.
AFC Champions League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ain | 4 | +11 | 12 |
| 2 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 |  Esteghlal FC | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 4 |  Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 4 | +2 | 9 |
| 5 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 4 | +6 | 8 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 4 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Al-Nassr | 3 | +2 | 6 |
| 8 |  Al Shamal | 4 | +1 | 5 |
| 9 |  Neftchi | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 10 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 11 |  Al-Wasl FC | 3 | -2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 4 | -4 | 3 |
| 13 |  Tractor Sazi | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 |  Pakhtakor | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 15 |  Al Sadd | 4 | -5 | 2 |
| 16 |  Al-Gharafa | 4 | -8 | 0 |
More AFC Champions League predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Pakhtakor 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.