Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor preview and prediction
The match
Al-Ahli Jeddah host Pakhtakor in the AFC Champions League on Monday 14 September, with kick-off at 19:15 (WAT) at King Abdullah Sports City. Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th with 8 points from 4 games (in the top half), while Pakhtakor sit 14th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Al-Ahli Jeddah's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Al-Hazm 3–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Pakhtakor's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Olmaliq 3–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Al-Ahli Jeddah and 0.9 for Pakhtakor. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Al-Ahli Jeddah to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Pakhtakor. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al-Ahli Jeddah68%fair 1.47 · @1.25
Draw15%fair 6.49 · @5.80
Pakhtakor17%fair 6.04 · @10.00
3.00Expected goals
2.12Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
0.88Pakhtakor xG
56%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 – 0.9 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win✗
68%
1.47
1.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah✗
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.93
–
Form
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
WLWLLW
11 Sep
vs Al-Hazm
3–1
W
8 Sep
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
2–3
L
4 Sep
vs Al Riyadh
5–0
W
1 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–3
L
29 Aug
@ Al Kholood
1–3
L
26 Aug
vs Auckland
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Pakhtakor – last 6
WWLDDW
9 Sep
@ Olmaliq
3–1
W
4 Sep
vs Andijan
3–0
W
29 Aug
@ Neftchi
0–1
L
25 Aug
@ Dinamo Samarqand
1–1
D
21 Aug
vs Surkhon
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Nasaf
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Pakhtakor.
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Pakhtakor 17%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor?
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Pakhtakor (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
