Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Al Sadd to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAl Sadd to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceAl Sadd or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd preview and prediction
The match
Al Sadd travel to Azadi Stadium in the AFC Champions League on Monday 14 September (19:15 WAT) to face Esteghlal FC. Esteghlal FC are 3rd with 9 points from 4 games (in the top four), while Al Sadd sit 15th on 2 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Esteghlal FC's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Paykan 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Al Sadd's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Al-Sailiya 6–3 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 3.7 per game.
Al Sadd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.0.
Betting angles
Win chances: Esteghlal FC 16%, draw 25%, Al Sadd 59%.
Safer route: Al Sadd or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Value angle: Al Sadd to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Al Sadd or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Esteghlal FC16%fair 6.32 · @3.60
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.25
Al Sadd59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Sadd to win✗
59%
1.69
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Al Sadd or draw✗
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Form
Esteghlal FC – last 6
WDDDWW
10 Sep
vs Paykan
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Aluminium Arak
0–0
D
2 Sep
vs Persepolis FC
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Foolad FC
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Sepahan FC
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Nassaji Mazandaran
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Al Sadd – last 6
WWWWWW
10 Sep
@ Al-Sailiya
6–3
W
5 Sep
vs Al-Gharafa
4–1
W
1 Sep
vs Al-Gharafa
2–1
W
28 Aug
@ Qatar SC
6–2
W
22 Aug
vs Al Ahli Doha
3–1
W
30 Jul
@ Trabzonspor
1–0
W
3.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Esteghlal FC and Al Sadd.
What is the prediction for Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd?
Our pick is Al Sadd or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd?
On our numbers Esteghlal FC have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Al Sadd 59%.
When is Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd?
Esteghlal FC vs Al Sadd (AFC Champions League) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Azadi Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.