Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: Union Comercio to win @ 2.70 – our chance 48% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion Comercio to win ✗48% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62% · @1.65
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.31
Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Llacuabamba host Union Comercio in the Segunda División on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT). Deportivo Llacuabamba are 3rd with 28 points from 16 games (in the top four), while Union Comercio sit 1st on 32 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Deportivo Llacuabamba's last 5: LDWLD Most recently they lost to Cesar Vallejo 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Union Comercio's last 5: DWWDL Most recently they drew with Carlos A. Mannucci 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Union Comercio 0–0 Deportivo Llacuabamba.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 0.8 for Deportivo Llacuabamba and 1.2 for Union Comercio. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Llacuabamba 30%, draw 22%, Union Comercio 48%.
Value angle: Union Comercio to win at 2.70 – 48% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Deportivo Llacuabamba 0–1 Union Comercio. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Llacuabamba30%fair 3.34 · @2.35
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.10
Union Comercio48%fair 2.09 · @2.70
2.00Expected goals
0.83Deportivo Llacuabamba xG
1.17Union Comercio xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–011%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Deportivo Llacuabamba 0.8 – 1.2 Union Comercio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
On our numbers Deportivo Llacuabamba have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Union Comercio 48%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Llacuabamba 0–1 Union Comercio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio?
Deportivo Llacuabamba vs Union Comercio (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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