Segunda División · Peru · Estadio Jorge BasadreBentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos prediction & analysis
Bentín Tacna Heroica to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Bentín Tacna Heroica 1.8 – 0.6 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Bentín Tacna Heroica are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 12% for Santos.
Bentín Tacna Heroica have taken 13 points from their last 6 matches (4W 1D 1L), scoring 1.7 and conceding 0.7 per game. Santos have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded. Bentín Tacna Heroica come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.8 for Bentín Tacna Heroica, 0.6 for Santos). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 41%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (16%), 2–0 (15%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Bentín Tacna Heroica to win at a 67% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.67 is better than our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Bentín Tacna Heroica to win ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.67 ▲ |
| Double chance | Bentín Tacna Heroica or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 59% | 1.70 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 52% | 1.92 | 1.95 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 77% | 1.30 | – |
| Half-time result | Bentín Tacna Heroica ahead at half-time ✗ | 47% | 2.15 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Bentín Tacna Heroica / FT Bentín Tacna Heroica ✗ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 16% | 6.34 | – |
Form
Bentín Tacna Heroica – last 6
| 24 Aug | @ Alianza Universidad | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | vs Sport Huancayo 2 | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Aug | @ Comerciantes | 2–2 | D |
| 2 Aug | vs Ayacucho FC | 2–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Deportivo Binacional | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Jul | vs Minas | 2–1 | W |
Santos – last 6
| 17 Aug | vs Alianza Universidad | 3–3 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Sport Huancayo 2 | 0–2 | L |
| 1 Aug | vs Comerciantes | 1–0 | W |
| 26 Jul | @ Ayacucho FC | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Jul | vs Deportivo Binacional | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Jun | @ Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 0–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bentín Tacna Heroica and Santos.
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bentín Tacna Heroica | 16 | +9 | 29 |
| 2 |  Comerciantes | 16 | +9 | 26 |
| 3 |  Minas | 16 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |  Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | +9 | 25 |
| 5 |  Alianza Universidad | 16 | 0 | 21 |
| 6 |  Santos | 16 | -3 | 21 |
| 7 |  Ayacucho FC | 16 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 |  Estudiantil CNI | 16 | +4 | 17 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Binacional | 16 | -39 | 10 |
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Union Comercio1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos?
Our pick is Bentín Tacna Heroica to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos?
On our numbers Bentín Tacna Heroica have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santos 12%.
How many goals will there be in Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 41% of the time on our projection.
When is Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos?
Bentín Tacna Heroica vs Santos (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jorge Basadre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.