Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMgarr United to win ✓63% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.89
St. Andrews vs Mgarr United preview and prediction
The match
St. Andrews host Mgarr United in the Challenge League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 13:00 (WAT). St. Andrews are 11th with 7 points from 7 games (in the bottom half), while Mgarr United sit 7th on 10 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
St. Andrews's last 5: WDLLL Most recently they beat Gudja United 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Mgarr United's last 5: WWLDD Most recently they beat Vittoriosa Stars 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Mgarr United arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 0.9 for St. Andrews and 1.7 for Mgarr United. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 46%.
Betting angles
Win chances: St. Andrews 24%, draw 13%, Mgarr United 63%.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mgarr United to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: St. Andrews 0–1 Mgarr United. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
St. Andrews24%fair 4.11 · @3.20
Draw13%fair 7.77 · @3.50
Mgarr United63%fair 1.59 · @1.95
2.61Expected goals
0.88St. Andrews xG
1.73Mgarr United xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–113%
1–111%
0–211%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: St. Andrews 0.9 – 1.7 Mgarr United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mgarr United to win✓
63%
1.59
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mgarr United / FT Mgarr United✓
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.89
–
Form
St. Andrews – last 6
WDLLLL
11 Oct
@ Gudja United
1–0
W
18 Sep
vs Santa Lucía
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ Victoria Hotspurs
0–3
L
27 Jun
@ Brechin
1–2
L
4 Apr
vs Birzebbuga
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Fgura United
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Mgarr United – last 6
WWLDDW
10 Oct
vs Vittoriosa Stars
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Melita
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Tarxien Rainbows
1–3
L
6 Apr
vs Santa Lucía
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Vittoriosa Stars
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Mtarfa
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between St. Andrews and Mgarr United.
What is the prediction for St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
Our pick is Mgarr United to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
On our numbers St. Andrews have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Mgarr United 63%.
How many goals will there be in St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
Our predicted score is St. Andrews 0–1 Mgarr United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is St. Andrews vs Mgarr United?
St. Andrews vs Mgarr United (Challenge League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
