FKF Premier League · KenyaUlinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar prediction & analysis
Mara Sugar to win
Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · Lost ✗
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Win chances
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Our analysis
Mara Sugar shade it despite being away from home – 53% to win, against 36% for Ulinzi Stars.
Ulinzi Stars have taken 10 points from their last 6 matches (3W 1D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 per game. Mara Sugar have 13 points from their last 6 (4W 1D 1L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.5 conceded.
In their last 1 meeting, Ulinzi Stars have won 0, Mara Sugar have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Mara Sugar to win at a 53% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mara Sugar to win ✗ | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 89% | 1.12 | – |
Form
Ulinzi Stars – last 6
| 31 May | @ Posta Rangers FC | 1–0 | W |
| 27 May | vs Tusker | 2–0 | W |
| 23 May | vs Mathare United | 2–1 | W |
| 13 May | vs AFC Leopards | 0–2 | L |
| 9 May | @ Shabana | 0–0 | D |
| 3 May | vs Tusker | 1–2 | L |
Mara Sugar – last 6
| 31 May | @ Murang'a SEAL | 1–2 | L |
| 13 May | vs Shabana | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | @ Tusker | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | @ Kariobangi Sharks | 1–0 | W |
| 6 Apr | vs Posta Rangers FC | 1–0 | W |
| 1 Apr | @ Nairobi United | 1–1 | D |
Head to head
| 22 Feb 2026 | Mara Sugar v Ulinzi Stars | 2–1 |
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
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Police0Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar?
Our pick is Mara Sugar to win with a 53% chance.
Who will win Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar?
On our numbers Ulinzi Stars have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Mara Sugar 53%.
When is Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar?
Ulinzi Stars vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.