FKF Premier League · Kenya3K vs Mara Sugar prediction & analysis
Mara Sugar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.04 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
Goal projections appear once goal data is in.
Our analysis
Very little separates 3K and Mara Sugar on our numbers – 4% for the home side, 5% for the visitors and 91% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
3K have taken 14 points from their last 6 matches (4W 2D 0L), scoring 1.8 and conceding 1.0 per game. Mara Sugar have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3K come into this in clearly the better form.
Our pick is Mara Sugar or draw at a 96% chance.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Draw ✓ | 91% | 1.10 | – |
| Double chance | Mara Sugar or draw ✓ | 96% | 1.04 | – |
Form
3K – last 6
| 2 Oct | @ Posta Rangers FC | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Jun | vs Migori Youth | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Jun | vs Talanta | 3–2 | W |
| 27 May | @ Mombasa Elite | 0–0 | D |
| 6 May | vs MCF | 2–0 | W |
| 1 May | @ Vihiga United FC | 3–2 | W |
Mara Sugar – last 6
| 2 Oct | @ Tusker | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | @ Ulinzi Stars | 0–0 | D |
| 31 May | @ Murang'a SEAL | 1–2 | L |
| 13 May | vs Shabana | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Apr | @ Tusker | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Apr | @ Kariobangi Sharks | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 3K and Mara Sugar.
FKF Premier League table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  GOR Mahia | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 2 |  KCB | 6 | +4 | 13 |
| 3 |  AFC Leopards | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 4 |  Kenya Police | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 5 |  Shabana | 6 | +1 | 9 |
| 6 |  Mara Sugar | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 |  3K | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 8 |  Murang'a SEAL | 6 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Bandari | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 |  Posta Rangers FC | 6 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 |  Tusker | 4 | +2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Migori Youth | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 13 |  APS Bomet | 6 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Ulinzi Stars | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 |  Nairobi United | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mathare United | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 17 |  Homeboyz | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| 18 |  Mombasa Elite | 6 | -7 | 1 |
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Police1Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for 3K vs Mara Sugar?
Our pick is Mara Sugar or draw with a 96% chance.
Who will win 3K vs Mara Sugar?
On our numbers 3K have a 4% chance of winning, the draw 91% and Mara Sugar 5%.
When is 3K vs Mara Sugar?
3K vs Mara Sugar (FKF Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.