Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Sassuolo to win @ 1.84 – our chance 66% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSassuolo to win ✗66% · @1.84
Double chanceSassuolo or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Sassuolo vs Frosinone preview and prediction
The match
Frosinone travel to face Sassuolo in the Coppa Italia on Wednesday 2 September (14:00 WAT).
Form guide
Sassuolo's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Torino 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Frosinone's last 5: WLWLD Most recently they beat Fiorentina 3–0 away. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Sassuolo and 1.0 for Frosinone. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Sassuolo to win at 1.84 – 66% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Sassuolo or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sassuolo 2–1 Frosinone. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sassuolo66%fair 1.52 · @1.84
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @3.60
Frosinone15%fair 6.64 · @4.00
3.37Expected goals
2.33Sassuolo xG
1.04Frosinone xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sassuolo 2.3 – 1.0 Frosinone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sassuolo to win✗
66%
1.52
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Sassuolo or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.83 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.36
Half-time result
Sassuolo ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sassuolo / FT Sassuolo✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Sassuolo – last 6
WLWLLD
29 Aug
vs Torino
2–1
W
23 Aug
@ Atalanta
1–2
L
17 Aug
vs Cesena
3–0
W
8 Aug
@ FC Augsburg
2–3
L
5 Aug
vs Celta Vigo
1–4
L
31 Jul
vs Folgore Caratese
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Frosinone – last 6
WLWLDD
29 Aug
@ Fiorentina
3–0
W
23 Aug
vs Juventus
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Lazio
1–2
L
1 Aug
vs Benevento
2–2
D
29 Jul
vs Sambenedettese
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sassuolo and Frosinone.
Our pick is Sassuolo or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
On our numbers Sassuolo have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Frosinone 15%.
How many goals will there be in Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
Our predicted score is Sassuolo 2–1 Frosinone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Sassuolo vs Frosinone?
Sassuolo vs Frosinone (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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