Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Udinese to win @ 1.90 – our chance 64% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUdinese to win ✓64% · @1.90
Double chanceUdinese or draw ✓87% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.27
Udinese vs Venezia preview and prediction
The match
Udinese host Venezia in the Coppa Italia on Wednesday 2 September, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Form guide
Udinese's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Monza 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Venezia's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to AC Milan 0–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Udinese arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Udinese and 0.8 for Venezia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Udinese 64%, draw 23%, Venezia 13%.
Safer route: Udinese or draw (87%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Udinese to win at 1.90 – 64% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Udinese or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Udinese 1–0 Venezia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Udinese64%fair 1.56 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Venezia13%fair 7.73 · @3.85
2.81Expected goals
2.00Udinese xG
0.81Venezia xG
57%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Udinese 2.0 – 0.8 Venezia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Udinese to win✓
64%
1.56
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Udinese or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Half-time result
Udinese ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Udinese / FT Udinese✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.27
–
Form
Udinese – last 6
WDWWWL
29 Aug
@ Monza
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Como
1–1
D
15 Aug
vs Padova
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Barcelona
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Nottingham Forest
1–0
W
2 Aug
@ Trabzonspor
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Venezia – last 6
LLWDLW
28 Aug
@ AC Milan
0–2
L
23 Aug
vs Lecce
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Modena
3–2
W
8 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
1 Aug
@ Saint Etienne
3–4
L
27 Jul
@ Galatasaray
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Udinese and Venezia.
Our pick is Udinese or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Udinese vs Venezia?
On our numbers Udinese have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Venezia 13%.
How many goals will there be in Udinese vs Venezia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Venezia?
Our predicted score is Udinese 1–0 Venezia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Udinese vs Venezia?
Udinese vs Venezia (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Wednesday 2 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Sassuolo1
Frosinone1