Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFiorentina to win ✓67% · @1.36
Double chanceFiorentina or draw ✓89% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.60
Fiorentina vs Pisa preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia sees Fiorentina take on Pisa on Tuesday 15 September, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Form guide
Fiorentina's last 5: WLLLW Most recently they beat Venezia 4–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Pisa's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Virtus Entella 1–4 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pisa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 23 February 2026, finished Fiorentina 1–0 Pisa.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.0 goals: 2.8 for Fiorentina and 1.2 for Pisa. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 76% and both teams to score at 64%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Fiorentina 67%, draw 23%, Pisa 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fiorentina 2–1 Pisa. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fiorentina67%fair 1.49 · @1.36
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.50
Pisa11%fair 9.51 · @7.00
4.00Expected goals
2.79Fiorentina xG
1.21Pisa xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Fiorentina 2.8 – 1.2 Pisa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Fiorentina vs Pisa?
On our numbers Fiorentina have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pisa 11%.
How many goals will there be in Fiorentina vs Pisa?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fiorentina vs Pisa?
Our predicted score is Fiorentina 2–1 Pisa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Fiorentina vs Pisa?
Fiorentina vs Pisa (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Artemio Franchi.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Genoa1
Sudtirol0