Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.66 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.66Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalermo to win ✓67% · @1.66
Double chancePalermo or draw ✓90% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.99
Palermo vs Mantova preview and prediction
The match
The Coppa Italia sees Palermo take on Mantova on Thursday 3 September, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Form guide
Palermo's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Arezzo 3–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mantova's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Empoli 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 4 March 2026, finished Palermo 2–1 Mantova.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Palermo and 0.6 for Mantova. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Palermo 67%, draw 22%, Mantova 10%.
Safer route: Palermo or draw (90%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Palermo to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.66, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Palermo 1–0 Mantova. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palermo67%fair 1.49 · @1.66
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.85
Mantova10%fair 9.58 · @4.85
2.39Expected goals
1.82Palermo xG
0.57Mantova xG
50%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
0–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Palermo 1.8 – 0.6 Mantova expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Palermo to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.66.
Who will win Palermo vs Mantova?
On our numbers Palermo have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Mantova 10%.
How many goals will there be in Palermo vs Mantova?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Mantova?
Our predicted score is Palermo 1–0 Mantova, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Palermo vs Mantova?
Palermo vs Mantova (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Renzo Barbera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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