Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Cagliari to win @ 1.90 – our chance 63% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCagliari to win ✗63% · @1.90
Double chanceCagliari or draw ✗87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.91
Cagliari vs Hellas Verona preview and prediction
The match
Cagliari host Hellas Verona in the Coppa Italia on Thursday 3 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Unipol Domus.
Form guide
Cagliari's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Inter 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Hellas Verona's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Padova 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Cagliari and 0.8 for Hellas Verona. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%.
Value angle: Cagliari to win at 1.90 – 63% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Cagliari or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Cagliari 1–0 Hellas Verona. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cagliari63%fair 1.58 · @1.90
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.40
Hellas Verona13%fair 7.57 · @4.00
2.73Expected goals
1.94Cagliari xG
0.79Hellas Verona xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Cagliari 1.9 – 0.8 Hellas Verona expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cagliari to win✗
63%
1.58
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Cagliari or draw✗
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.98
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.25
Half-time result
Cagliari ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cagliari / FT Cagliari✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.91
–
Form
Cagliari – last 6
LWWDDW
30 Aug
vs Inter
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Parma
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Arezzo
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Nice
0–0
D
2 Aug
@ Union Berlin
2–2
D
28 Jul
vs Modena
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Hellas Verona – last 6
DLDWWW
29 Aug
@ Padova
1–1
D
23 Aug
vs Ascoli
1–2
L
16 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
2–2
D
2 Aug
vs Lecco
3–0
W
25 Jul
vs Dolomiti Bellunesi
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Virtus Verona
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cagliari and Hellas Verona.
What is the prediction for Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
Our pick is Cagliari or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
On our numbers Cagliari have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Hellas Verona 13%.
How many goals will there be in Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
Our predicted score is Cagliari 1–0 Hellas Verona, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cagliari vs Hellas Verona?
Cagliari vs Hellas Verona (Coppa Italia) kicks off on Thursday 3 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Unipol Domus.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Palermo5
Mantova2