Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSouth Korea to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chanceSouth Korea or draw ✓85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.30
South Korea vs Venezuela preview and prediction
The match
South Korea host Venezuela in the Friendlies on Friday 2 October, with kick-off at 12:00 (WAT) at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium.
Form guide
South Korea's last 5: LWLLW Most recently they lost to Uruguay 1–4 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Venezuela's last 4: LWLW Most recently they lost to Japan 1–2 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for South Korea and 0.9 for Venezuela. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 58% and both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: South Korea 64%, draw 21%, Venezuela 15%.
Safer route: South Korea or draw (85%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 54% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was South Korea to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: South Korea 2–0 Venezuela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
South Korea64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Venezuela15%fair 6.48 · @4.60
3.00Expected goals
2.08South Korea xG
0.92Venezuela xG
54%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: South Korea 2.1 – 0.9 Venezuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
South Korea to win✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Double chance
South Korea or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
South Korea ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT South Korea / FT South Korea✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
9.30
–
Form
South Korea – last 6
LWLLWW
28 Sep
vs Uruguay
1–4
L
24 Sep
vs Ecuador
3–0
W
25 Jun
@ South Africa
0–1
L
19 Jun
@ Mexico
0–1
L
12 Jun
vs Czech Republic
2–1
W
4 Jun
vs El Salvador
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Venezuela – last 4
LWLW
28 Sep
@ Japan
1–2
L
10 Jun
@ Iraq
2–0
W
6 Jun
vs Türkiye
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Trinidad and Tobago
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between South Korea and Venezuela.
What is the prediction for South Korea vs Venezuela?
Our pick is South Korea to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win South Korea vs Venezuela?
On our numbers South Korea have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Venezuela 15%.
How many goals will there be in South Korea vs Venezuela?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for South Korea vs Venezuela?
Our predicted score is South Korea 2–0 Venezuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is South Korea vs Venezuela?
South Korea vs Venezuela (Friendlies) kicks off on Friday 2 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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