Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.73
Japan vs Venezuela preview and prediction
The match
The Friendlies sees Japan take on Venezuela on Monday 28 September, kicking off at 11:25 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Form guide
Japan's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Uruguay 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Venezuela's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Iraq 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.6 for Japan and 0.4 for Venezuela. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Japan 68%, draw 19%, Venezuela 13%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Japan to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Japan 1–0 Venezuela. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Japan68%fair 1.46 · @1.25
Draw19%fair 5.36 · @5.00
Venezuela13%fair 7.74 · @9.50
2.00Expected goals
1.56Japan xG
0.44Venezuela xG
44%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–021%
2–017%
0–014%
1–19%
3–09%
2–17%
From our goals model: Japan 1.6 – 0.4 Venezuela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Japan to win✓
68%
1.46
1.25
Double chance
Japan or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Japan / FT Japan✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
21%
4.73
–
Form
Japan – last 6
WLDWDW
24 Sep
vs Uruguay
3–1
W
29 Jun
@ Brazil
1–2
L
26 Jun
vs Sweden
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Tunisia
4–0
W
14 Jun
@ Netherlands
2–2
D
31 May
vs Iceland
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Venezuela – last 3
WLW
10 Jun
@ Iraq
2–0
W
6 Jun
vs Türkiye
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs Trinidad and Tobago
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Japan and Venezuela.
Our pick is Japan to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Japan vs Venezuela?
On our numbers Japan have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Venezuela 13%.
How many goals will there be in Japan vs Venezuela?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Japan vs Venezuela?
Our predicted score is Japan 1–0 Venezuela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Japan vs Venezuela?
Japan vs Venezuela (Friendlies) kicks off on Monday 28 September 2026 at 11:25 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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